About This Role
The Manager, US Forecasting will be a key member of the Decision Sciences – Forecasting Center of Excellence team, supporting the development, execution, and ongoing refinement of forecast models for Biogen’s US business across key franchises.
This role focuses on building robust, data-driven forecasting models by leveraging primary and secondary data sources, generating actionable insights, and supporting strategic planning and resource allocation. The individual will work cross-functionally to gather inputs, align on assumptions, and deliver forecasts that enable data-driven decision-making.
This position offers a strong mix of analytical execution, cross-functional collaboration, and growing strategic exposure. The role reports to the Senior Director, Forecasting COE.
What You’ll Do
Forecasting & Business Partnership
- Support short- and long-term brand and market revenue forecasting, including developing assumptions, updating models, and assisting in communicating outputs to stakeholders (Marketing, I&A, Finance).
- Build and maintain forecast models using:
- Epidemiology-based patient flows
- Sales and demand trends (weekly/monthly)
- Inventory dynamics and revenue deductions
- Conduct scenario analyses (e.g., sensitivity testing, basic Monte Carlo simulations) to evaluate risks and opportunities.
- Partner cross-functionally to incorporate key inputs:
- Market Research (demand studies, conjoint outputs)
- Analytics (claims-based KPIs, patient flows)
- Market Access (pricing, access, and gross-to-net dynamics)
- Finance (revenue planning and targets)
- Support long-range planning exercises in collaboration with US and Global teams.
- Assist in reconciling internal forecasts with external expectations (e.g., investor or analyst views).
Forecast Model Execution & Continuous Improvement
- Own components of forecast model development, maintenance, and updates.
- Ensure models are accurate, transparent, and incorporate latest insights and data sources.
- Help identify and implement enhancements to forecasting tools and methodologies.
- Develop and maintain documentation for models, assumptions, and processes.
- Support tracking forecast performance vs. actuals and identify drivers of variance.
- Contribute to building best practices and knowledge-sharing within the Forecasting COE.
Project Support & Operational Excellence
- Support forecasting workstreams in key brand or franchise projects.
- Manage timelines and deliverables for assigned forecasting analyses.
- Contribute to ad hoc analyses and business case development as needed.
- Collaborate effectively across teams to gather inputs and ensure alignment.
Who You Are
You are analytically strong and detail-oriented, with a passion for forecasting and using data to inform business decisions. You are comfortable working with cross-functional teams and are eager to deepen your expertise across therapeutic areas and commercial dynamics.
Qualifications and Skills
- Bachelor’s degree required (preferred: Mathematics, Statistics, Economics, HEOR, or similar)
- 3–5 years of experience in pharma/biotech, consulting, or analytics-focused roles
- 1+ years of experience in forecasting, commercial analytics, or related area preferred
- Foundational understanding of:
- Forecasting methodologies (epi-based, demand-based models)
- Pharma data sources (sales, claims, specialty pharmacy, demand studies)
- Revenue dynamics (gross-to-net, access considerations)
- Strong analytical and quantitative skills:
- Advanced Excel modeling required
- Familiarity with statistical tools and scenario modeling (e.g., @Risk, Crystal Ball) preferred
- Ability to synthesize data into clear, actionable insights
- Strong collaboration and communication skills
- Ability to manage multiple priorities and deliver high-quality work with moderate guidance
Job Level: Management
